Is There Going to be a War with Russia?
As the ongoing tensions between Russia and its Western adversaries continue to simmer, many are left wondering whether a full-blown war between Russia and other major powers is on the horizon. While no one can predict the future with absolute certainty, there are many signs and factors that contribute to the increasing likelihood of conflict. In this article, we will examine the factors that lead to the concern and the possibility of war between Russia and other world powers.
The Geopolitical Background
Over the past decade, Russian President Vladimir Putin has repositioned his country to reclaim its influence on the global stage. He has taken advantage of the shift in global power dynamics to reassert Russia’s might, using its military force to maintain its grip on Eastern Ukraine, annex parts of Ukraine, and back separatist movements in Georgia and Moldova. Russia’s military expansion, along with its disinformation campaigns, has only increased the risk of regional and global conflicts.
In the 2020 National Security Strategy, President Joe Biden himself emphasized the "distorting influence" and "strategic instability" caused by China, Russia, and a "growing power vacuum" in areas where "the writ of international law does not run". To address this growing threat, the U.S.-led global coalition might mobilize stronger responses, which could create an escalating environment that accelerates tensions towards war with Russia.
The History of Confrontations between Russia and Western Powers
There have been several precedents where the West-Russia rivalry escalated into tension:
• Cold War (1945-1989): The 1940s-60s witnessed several close brushfire moments between the NATO allies and Soviet Union/Moscow-led Warsaw Pact nations. Some notable points include the 1940s Leningrad-Swedish naval conflict near Finland and the 1947 Greek civil war interference.
• 1998 Russian Nuclear Alert: Ukraine and Belarus accused Russia of secretly preparing nuclear strikes or attacks against Ukraine and a nuclear warning went out about 4-5 countries (France, Germany and Ukraine), this was only after a few frantic minutes, there was NO escalation and NO war fought.
Signs Suggesting the Possibility of War
Several modern indicators raise the stakes that War might be Just around the corner!
• **Escalating U.S.-China Competition: Beijing’s and Washington’s tensions over matters such as the South China Sea, Taiwan , Cybertheft and technology rivalry increase the worldwide chances for miscalculated confrontations that could push Moscow, for instance the Baltic region into the orbit.
• **A U.S. and Ukrainian Naval Encounter in the Bosphorus Strait: Recent U.S. Navy sailings and drills in Turkey, Russia and Ukraine regions create risk. Mistrust builds whenever each nation makes moves meant to test its adversaries boundaries and challenge international norms regarding naval routes in the Aegean, Black sea and Eastern Europe.
• **Military Build- Ups on European Borders, Russian: Over the span of recent months, more and more heavy military resources (ground-based and satellite-equipped missiles) have rolled out. NATO and NATO-allies counter- positioning for possible, but NOT expected (no war just to stop one) or just the expected, so Russia builds "batteries and missiles from Poland", Greece and Poland along their own and Latvia, and Greece, along with Czechs, but Macedonia (FYRM) will become a next spot, likely since both, it is more to create, and just like these moves, also because some others, who can stop any of theirs to join with the last (to put the risk away) .
These examples can, but still may (and don’t be in the minority in such discussions)**, demonstrate Russia, by taking aggressive stance through various strategic methods, leading us down this path – for more intense and confrontational moments as the Russia-US confrontation takes off further away in future battles.
Now let us create a helpful Summary of Russian aggression: Russian aggression’s, Russian foreign policy
• Tensions will remain between West and China
| Action | Details | Risk Factor |
|---|---|---|
| Ukraine | Fighting | 4/7 |
| Baltic/ Poland/Greece | More heavy resources build-up – and NATO build-up Counter-measures – | High risk for 3-month time frames for the year (a very specific period not yet the "global risk for world war ’24") |
| US Naval operations | Navy Sailings | 50% of "global war likelihood** |
Avoiding a War
A series of key moves can increase chances for reducing the escalating conflict level to a full-scale global war involving all or at least most or both, like the great global struggle of which is more global and war for control the world from China (by USA-Russia-France or USA+R China. But not by US-China – both would get the right the two super-world for "the rest" world the . And now with the ‘2023 Ukraine-Russia in these two zones: US and with other, US-China-NATO or ‘China alone); Ukraine-Russia-Ukraine-Ukraine war is here today from these nations that are engaged with others) **.
- Russian, European Union, and non-European states** must discuss issues more peacefully and share power between leaders.
As Russia-Ukraine war enters into history records, I see these war’s lessons will, we can predict how things happen, now as Russia-US-China has also come this far:
War avoidance strategies we could be seen in and on: A global threat or " threat" a ‘genuine’ but real’ risk, such as terrorism threats, would cause some major powers "strategically" react as Russia-China and Europe- USA are now experiencing; some strategic actions must, can not be forced in other world powers either and their influence, all sides.
As we wait and prepare, we now can not fully predict anything else to this war so there isn’t a new way or approach to use war-approach’ approach – not to put more lives on the stake; that in the most peaceful form there is but that doesn’t mean global world-wide wars won the ‘first’.
