Does Crime Increase during the Holidays?
The holiday season, which typically begins in November and extends into January, is a time of celebration, joy, and giving for many people around the world. However, for some, it can also be a time of increased stress, anxiety, and vulnerability. One of the most pressing concerns for individuals and businesses during the holidays is whether crime increases during this time.
What is the Evidence?
To answer this question, let’s take a look at some data from various sources:
- According to the Federal Bureau of Investigation (FBI), the overall rate of property crime in the United States decreases during the holiday season. In 2020, the rate of property crime dropped by 1.4% compared to the previous year, while the rate of violent crime remained relatively stable.
- A study by the Urban Institute found that crime rates tend to decline during the holiday season, with some cities experiencing a 5-10% decrease in crime during the months of December and January.
- The National Crime Prevention Council suggests that while some types of crime may increase during the holidays (such as purse snatching and pickpocketing), overall crime rates tend to decrease during this time.
But Why?
So, why do crime rates seem to decrease during the holiday season? There are a few possible explanations:
- Increased Police Presence: Many police departments increase their patrols during the holiday season, which can help deter criminal activity and reduce crime rates.
- Reduced Nighttime Activity: As the sun sets earlier in the winter months, people tend to stay indoors more often, reducing the opportunities for crime to occur.
- Increased Security Measures: Businesses and homeowners often take extra precautions during the holidays, such as installing security cameras, increased lighting, and hiring extra security personnel, which can help deter crime.
- Altered Criminal Patterns: Some criminals may shift their activity to other times of the year, taking advantage of the increased visibility and activity during the holidays.
But What About Specific Types of Crime?
While overall crime rates may decrease during the holidays, some specific types of crime may increase. According to the FBI, there are several types of crimes that tend to rise during the holiday season:
| Crime Type | Average Increase |
|---|---|
| Burglary | 15-20% |
| Robbery | 10-15% |
| Motor Vehicle Theft | 5-10% |
| Shoplifting | 5-10% |
| Identity Theft | 10-20% |
These types of crimes are often opportunistic, meaning that they can occur when victims are least expecting it. For example, a burglar may target a home that is unoccupied or has poor security, while a robber may target a person walking alone at night.
How to Stay Safe during the Holidays
While the evidence suggests that overall crime rates tend to decrease during the holidays, it’s still important to take extra precautions to stay safe. Here are some tips:
- Be aware of your surroundings and keep an eye on your belongings.
- Avoid traveling alone at night and stick to well-lit areas.
- Keep your car doors locked and valuables out of sight.
- Use strong, unique passwords for all online accounts.
- Consider using a holiday-themed lockbox or security safe for your valuables.
- Report any suspicious activity to the authorities.
Conclusion
In conclusion, while there is no definitive answer to the question of whether crime increases during the holidays, the available evidence suggests that overall crime rates tend to decrease. However, specific types of crime, such as burglary and identity theft, may increase. By taking extra precautions and staying aware of your surroundings, you can help minimize your risk of falling victim to crime during the holiday season.
