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Is Iran at war with Israel now?

Is Iran at war with Israel now?

The question of whether Iran and Israel are at war remains a topic of heated debate and speculation. As Iran continues to support anti-Israel groups and resist US-Middle East policy, Israel has repeatedly vowed to take military action to destroy Iran’s nuclear capabilities. In recent months, the conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated rapidly, with multiple cross-border incidents and military confrontations. But are the two countries officially at war? In this article, we’ll delve into the current state of relations and the ongoing tensions between Tehran and Tel Aviv.

Contents

Historical context

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Relations between Iran and Israel date back to the early days of the Islamic Revolution in 1979. Israel and Iran had enjoyed strong diplomatic ties before the Iranian revolution, with exchanges of diplomatic representatives in the 1950s and 1960s. However, once the Islamic Revolution took over, Iran’s relations with Israel rapidly deteriorated following the takeover of the US embassy in Tehran, and Israel’s decision to boycott Iran in 1980.

Since then, the two countries have become sworn enemies, with tensions periodically flaring over issues such as the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, nuclear development in Iran, and the regional geopolitical balance. The ongoing Iran-US conflict, starting from the 1981–1988 Iran–Iraq War, further compounded the animosity.

Recent escalation

In recent years, tensions have risen amid the proxy war in Syria, rocked by Iranian support to the Bashar al-Assad government and Israel’s retaliatory strikes against Iranian and proxy targets. Additionally, the assassination of Mohsen Fakhrizadeh, a senior Iranian nuclear scientist, by suspected Israeli agents in 2020, has sparked reciprocal warnings of reprisal.

The Gulf War and its aftermath**

In June 2019, **the Iranian naval fleet** came perilously close to **an ExxonMobil oil tanker transiting the Strait of Hormuz**, a crucial Gulf shipping lane. **Washington and its allies quickly pointed fingers at Iran, claiming it was a deliberate attempt at sabotage**. Israel tacitly supported the **US-led “Operation Sentinel”**, a coalition established to secure the region following the incident.

Subsequently, **the IRGC, Iran’s Islamic Revolution Guard Corps**, publicly asserted that **Israel and America are in cahoots, attempting to instigate a war against Islamic nations**. As concerns over a potential war heighten, **Tehran has vowed to deter Israeli aggression through asymmetrical responses**.

**Elections and diplomatic stalemates**

In January 2019, **the resignation of Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Olmert forced new elections**, during which **Benny Gantz** won the premiership on a promise to engage Iran militarily** if diplomatic efforts fail**.

Military implications**

The current conflict takes the form of a “**hybrid war” with asymmetric tactics**, leveraging traditional forces, **paramilitaries, and special operation forces**. This warfare aims to disrupt enemy chains of command, sabotage communications, and target soft points like critical infrastructure, disrupting **the Iranian Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), a powerful and autonomous group within the Iranian military**

Key points to note in this hybrid war scenario **are:**

* Covert operations
* Naval warfare
* Electronic and cyber warfare
* Logistical disruption
* Irregular warfare

Escalation through the Strait of Hormuz**

In 2018, **Iran** imposed restrictions on oil exports crossing the Strait of Hormuz, a crucial oil-shipping chokepoint connecting **the Persian Gulf** and the **Arabian Sea**. The U.S. **Central Command** responded by warning international shippers of **additional threats to shipping and American naval forces** in response to Iran’s alleged bullying tactics.

Gaza Strip and Palestine**
Palestinian militant groups like the **Hamas**, connected to Iran, continue their fight against Israel through acts of terrorism, armed rocket fire, and underground assaults. **Israel maintains checkpoints, military patrols, and restrictions on Palestinian movements while carrying out targeted airstrikes within the Gaza Strip**

Confrontations in **Wester Bank and the Egyptian-Gaza border**, too, contribute to regional anxieties. **Hebrew settlements and West Bank separation barriers have long been source of contention between the PLO and Israel**, sparking clashes and political protests.

In this **protracted Israel-Palestine issue**, the Israeli-Palestinian conflict is increasingly mirroring the Iranian struggle** with its own narrative of resistance and national identity**, exacerbating regional tensions and providing additional context for **clashes and border tensions on both sides**.

In conclusion, **while many analysts and officials in Israel warn of an imminent conflict between Iran and Israel, such claims remain uncertain**, awaiting clear evidence of open confrontation or **unmistaken intent to attack each side’s interests**.

From an analytical perspective, despite tensions escalating between **Bennett’s Likud** and **Iranians’ hardline IRGC** and the _“maximum pressure” approach toward Tehran, it’s questionable whether either side genuinely seek open conflict**.

Tethered to **long history, proxy wars, geo-political stakes**, military considerations, and ideological alignments, **Iran’s hostility towards Israel and US intentions toward the region might instead contribute to ongoing tension – short of a declared open conflict**.

While experts emphasize **Israel and Tehran’s asymmetrical and guerrilla warfare strategies** do carry significant risks for unforeseen escalation, neither adversary can claim an undeniable objective, and thus a broader understanding of this protracted and multifaceted challenge may ultimately rely on diplomats’ skill in preventing cross-border hostilities** within a broader framework**:

Peace building, conflict resolution and normalization efforts

Recommendation: International community

* Facilitating direct dialogue between parties at different levels (State-subsidized)
+ Track II diplomatic measures to establish confidence building structures
+ Employs expert groups, including, non-governmental organizations(NGOs) for informal consultations
* Focused diplomacy: Establish a platform and foster open channels between concerned states, **particularly as seen in the EU High Representative for Foreign Affairs**: European Union, UN envoy to the Middle East etc
* Support alternative infrastructure for oil transport through established regional shipping routes

Additionally, **addressing critical security concerns and grievances – political, economic, psychological** would likely yield crucial insights and a pathway **for both parties** working toward **reduced frictions, a negotiated treaty**.

By doing this, the **proposition for an Iranian war vs Israel becomes increasingly a relic of a distant memory,** a distant prospect from historical hostilities. Instead **Israel and Iran must reposition themselves toward cooperative strategic security and mutually benefiting cooperative engagement**.

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